Multilevel SEM

If the data is clustered, one way to handle the clustering is to use a multilevel modeling approach. In the SEM framework, this leads to multilevel SEM. The multilevel capabilities of lavaan are still limited, but you can fit a two-level SEM with random intercepts (note: only when all data is continuous).

Multilevel SEM model syntax

To fit a two-level SEM, you must specify a model for both levels, as follows:

model <- '
    level: 1
        fw =~ y1 + y2 + y3
        fw ~ x1 + x2 + x3
    level: 2
        fb =~ y1 + y2 + y3
        fb ~ w1 + w2
'

This model syntax contains two blocks, one for level 1, and one for level 2. Within each block, you can specify a model just like in the single-level case. To fit this model, using a toy dataset Demo.twolevel that is part of the lavaan package, you need to add the cluster= argument to the sem/lavaan function call:

fit <- sem(model = model, data = Demo.twolevel, cluster = "cluster")

The output looks similar to a multigroup SEM output, but where the two groups are now the within and the between level respectively.

summary(fit)
lavaan 0.6.18.2004 ended normally after 36 iterations

  Estimator                                         ML
  Optimization method                           NLMINB
  Number of model parameters                        20

  Number of observations                          2500
  Number of clusters [cluster]                     200

Model Test User Model:
                                                      
  Test statistic                                 8.092
  Degrees of freedom                                10
  P-value (Chi-square)                           0.620

Parameter Estimates:

  Standard errors                             Standard
  Information                                 Observed
  Observed information based on                Hessian


Level 1 [within]:

Latent Variables:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
  fw =~                                               
    y1                1.000                           
    y2                0.774    0.034   22.671    0.000
    y3                0.734    0.033   22.355    0.000

Regressions:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
  fw ~                                                
    x1                0.510    0.023   22.037    0.000
    x2                0.407    0.022   18.273    0.000
    x3                0.205    0.021    9.740    0.000

Variances:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
   .y1                0.986    0.046   21.591    0.000
   .y2                1.066    0.039   27.271    0.000
   .y3                1.011    0.037   27.662    0.000
   .fw                0.546    0.040   13.539    0.000


Level 2 [cluster]:

Latent Variables:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
  fb =~                                               
    y1                1.000                           
    y2                0.717    0.052   13.824    0.000
    y3                0.587    0.048   12.329    0.000

Regressions:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
  fb ~                                                
    w1                0.165    0.079    2.093    0.036
    w2                0.131    0.076    1.715    0.086

Intercepts:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
   .y1                0.024    0.075    0.327    0.743
   .y2               -0.016    0.060   -0.269    0.788
   .y3               -0.042    0.054   -0.777    0.437

Variances:
                   Estimate  Std.Err  z-value  P(>|z|)
   .y1                0.058    0.047    1.213    0.225
   .y2                0.120    0.031    3.825    0.000
   .y3                0.149    0.028    5.319    0.000
   .fb                0.899    0.118    7.592    0.000

After fitting the model, you can inspect the intra-class correlations:

lavInspect(fit, "icc")
   y1    y2    y3    x1    x2    x3 
0.331 0.263 0.232 0.000 0.000 0.000 

The see the unrestricted (h1) within and between means and covariances, you can use

lavInspect(fit, "h1")
$within
$within$cov
       y1     y2     y3     x1     x2     x3
y1  2.000                                   
y2  0.789  1.674                            
y3  0.749  0.564  1.557                     
x1  0.489  0.393  0.376  0.982              
x2  0.416  0.322  0.299  0.001  1.011       
x3  0.221  0.160  0.155 -0.006  0.008  1.045

$within$mean
    y1     y2     y3     x1     x2     x3 
 0.001 -0.002 -0.001 -0.007 -0.003  0.020 


$cluster
$cluster$cov
       y1     y2     y3     w1     w2
y1  0.992                            
y2  0.668  0.598                     
y3  0.548  0.391  0.469              
w1  0.125  0.119  0.036  0.870       
w2  0.086  0.057  0.130 -0.128  0.931

$cluster$mean
    y1     y2     y3     w1     w2 
 0.019 -0.017 -0.043  0.052 -0.091 

Important notes

  • note that in level: 1 the colon follows the level keyword; if you type level 1:, you will get an error

  • you must specify a model for each level; the following syntax is not allowed and will produce an error:

    model <- '
        level: 1
            fw =~ y1 + y2 + y3
            fw ~ x1 + x2 + x3
        level: 2
    '
  • if you do not have a model in mind for level 2, you can specify a saturated level by adding all variances and covariances of the endogenous variables (here: y1, y2 and y3):

    model <- '
        level: 1
            fw =~ y1 + y2 + y3
            fw ~ x1 + x2 + x3
        level: 2
            y1 ~~ y1 + y2 + y3
            y2 ~~ y2 + y3
            y3 ~~ y3
    '

Convergence issues and solutions

By default, the current version of lavaan (0.6) uses a quasi-Newton procedure to maximize the loglikelihood of the data given the model (just like in the single-level case). For most model and data combinations, this will work fine (and fast). However, every now and then, you may experience convergence issues.

Non-convergence is typically a sign that something is not quite right with either your model, or your data. Typical settings are: a small number of clusters, in combination with (almost) no variance of an endogenous variable at the between level.

However, if you believe nothing is wrong, you may want to try another optimization procedure. The current version of lavaan allows for using the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm as an alternative. To switch to the EM algorithm, you can use:

fit <- sem(model = model, data = Demo.twolevel, cluster = "cluster",
           verbose = TRUE, optim.method = "em")

As the EM algorithm is not accelerated yet, this may take a long time. It is not unusual that more than 10000 iterations are needed to reach a solution. To control when the EM algorithm stops, you can set the stopping criteria as follows:

fit <- sem(model = model, data = Demo.twolevel, cluster = "cluster",
           verbose = TRUE, optim.method = "em", em.iter.max = 20000,
           em.fx.tol = 1e-08, em.dx.tol = 1e-04)

The em.fx.tol argument is used to monitor the change in loglikelihood between the current step and the previous step. If this change is smaller than em.fx.tol, the algorithm stops. The em.dx.tol argument is used to monitor the (unscaled) gradient. When a solution is reached, all elements of the gradient should be near zero. When the largest gradient element is smaller than em.dx.tol, the algorithm stops.

A word of caution: the EM algorithm can always be forced to ‘converge’ (perhaps after changing the stopping criteria), but that does not mean you have a model/dataset combination that deserves to converge.